MID-ATLANTIC UNITED STATES — Forecast confidence is increasing that a significant winter storm will impact the Mid-Atlantic region this weekend, with both the European (EURO) and American (GFS) models showing strong agreement that at least one part of the region is likely to see heavy snowfall, even as exact placement remains uncertain.
EURO and GFS Both Show a Strong Snow Signal
Latest model runs from both the EURO and GFS depict a well-organized winter storm producing a broad swath of accumulating snow across the Mid-Atlantic, a notable sign this close to the event. While the two models differ on precise storm track and snowfall maxima, they agree on the larger message: this is not a fringe or low-end system.
Snowfall output suggests a corridor of heavier totals setting up somewhere between the central Appalachians and interior sections of the Mid-Atlantic, with lighter amounts extending outward from the core band.
Someone Is Likely to See a Significant Snowfall
Even with remaining uncertainty, the overlap between the models makes one outcome increasingly clear — someone in the Mid-Atlantic is going to see a lot of snow. This does not mean every location will be impacted equally, but it does raise confidence that the storm will produce meaningful winter impacts for at least part of the region.
As is typical with these setups, relatively small shifts north or south could dramatically change who ends up under the heaviest snow band.
Interior Locations Currently Favored Over the Immediate Coast
Based on current guidance, interior portions of the Mid-Atlantic appear more favorably positioned for heavy snow, where colder air is more likely to hold. Coastal areas remain more sensitive to storm track and thermal profiles, leaving the door open for mixing or rain closer to the shoreline…