Maryland and Northern Virginia are currently in the National Weather Service’s (NWS)“limited threat risk” zone for a potential winter storm this weekend, with forecast confidence still low.
The Canadian model suggests a roughly 40-50% chance of more than three inches of snow across much of Maryland, while the European model is notably less aggressive, showing about a 10-30% chance. While the Euro is generally considered more reliable, this winter has been challenging for nearly all weather models, adding to the uncertainty.
The NWS “Forecaster’s Discussion” says a wide range of outcomes remains possible, depending on the strength, track, and timing of the developing low-pressure system. Current projections show precipitation beginning as rain Saturday night into Sunday morning, with snow mixing in overnight…