The National Weather Service Weather Prediction Center has expanded its “Heavy Snow Threat” area to include most of Maryland, signaling growing concern about the potential for impactful winter weather late this weekend into early next week.
The updated Day 3 to 7 hazards outlook highlights a higher confidence in storm development along the East Coast, but forecasters stress that confidence in exact impacts remains low. Small shifts in storm track and timing could make the difference between minimal snowfall, a modest event, or a more significant winter storm for the region.
That uncertainty is echoed in the latest National Weather Service Baltimore Washington forecaster’s discussion, which notes that the latest round of model guidance did little to clarify the forecast. Snow probabilities have diverged further, with some ensemble models increasing snowfall chances while others have trended lower. Forecasters say those opposing trends may ultimately cancel each other out in the blended guidance, at least in the short term…