Real estate experts’ hot Austin takes of 2026

We asked experts to give us their crystal ball predictions for Austin’s housing market in 2026.

Why it matters: The fate of the housing market is tied to factors both national (like interest rates) and local (the job market) — and homeownership remains part of the American dream.

The big picture: The median price for homes within the Austin city limits in November, the most recent data available, was $565,000, down 1.5% from November 2024. That’s according to the latest from Unlock MLS, a real estate data site operated by the Austin Board of Realtors.

  • In greater Austin, the median price for homes sold in November was $430,000, down 1.1% from November 2024.

What they’re saying: “We’re approaching 2026 with cautious optimism while watching the tech industry to see when they’ll begin hiring again,” Austin real estate broker Eric Bramlett tells Axios.

  • “Job anxiety is very real and very much affects the housing market. When you’re worried about your job, you don’t make big purchases,” he observes.

State of play: The unemployment rate in greater Austin was 3.8% in September, per the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics…

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