Texas A&M is heading into Baton Rouge this week to face off with the LSU Tigers as a 7.5 point underdog, according to the early line from FanDuel. The Aggies have fallen significantly in national estimation after their loss to the Kentucky Wildcats this past weekend, but even so, this is a curiously narrow gap between the Aggies and Tigers.
This is a Texas A&M team that just lost by ten to Kentucky at home, and they’re heading on the road to take on an LSU team that now has their backs against the wall early on in the season— and the line is a touchdown. Presuming a three-point swing for home field advantage, the implied line on a neutral field would be 4.5 in favor of LSU, and in Kyle Field it would only be a point and a half in favor of the Tigers.
So, what gives? Why are the Aggies, who are already being completely written off by most in the national media, so close to a team that everyone was ready to anoint as national champions only a couple of weeks ago— even if that team just lost a hard-fought top-ten matchup on the road this past weekend? The answer is clear: there’s been an overcorrection against the Aggies after the Kentucky game, and it is about to work in their favor big time.
Texas A&M’s narrow early line against LSU shows the Aggies shouldn’t be written off just yet
Early-season overreactions are a staple of this sport, and yet we fall victim to them every single time anyway. That’s exactly what has gone on with people completely writing off the Aggies at this point— so you can expect to see a lot of people hammering LSU with this line…