(KMDL-FM) Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center are still suggesting that an area of low pressure currently centered off the east coast of Florida on the Atlantic side of the peninsula will move westward over the next two days. If it does, it will be centered just south of the northern Gulf Coast.
With that proximity to the coast and depending on how far westward the system might travel, interests in New Orleans, Houma, Baton Rouge, and even Lafayette could feel the effects of the system by later this week. The current question on the minds of most forecasters is “What will those effects be”?
Before we go too far down that road and speculate about what might happen, let’s bring you up to speed on the changes the National Hurricane Center has made in its forecast regarding the system. The NHC is now giving the area of disturbed weather a 40% probability for strengthening over the next 48 hours. That same probability holds for the seven-day outlook as well.
Where Is The System in the Gulf Likely to Go?
That is a great question, and it’s being made harder to answer because the system is so unorganized at this time. A lot of tropical models are “speculating” that the system will develop a little more than it currently has.
When that happens, it makes it easier for the model guidance to “lock on” to the system and give us a clearer picture. That being said, here’s what the tropical forecast models have to say about the projected path of the system, which has been given the working name “Invest 93L”…