For the third straight day, all of southern New England is under a red flag warning for very high fire risk. While it won’t be nearly as windy today as it was yesterday, it will remain breezy with very low humidity and continued dry conditions. As expected, several New brush fires cropped up on Saturday, including a fast spreading one in Lynn, MA that has now burned over 200 acres in the popular Lynn Woods Reservation as of Saturday evening.
Tonight is the big night…a round of showers will move through the entire region. A frontal system will pass to the north of the region, first lifting its warm front across New England followed by its cold front tonight. The result will be a batch of widespread light rain as the fronts make their way through. With warm air advection happening with the warm front, this will be an all rain event for a vast majority. Only the northern reaches of Maine may start as a bit of wet snow before switching over to rain.
Photo byNew England Storm Center
Forcing will be weak with this system and meager moisture ahead of it will keep rain totals on the lower end. Guidance has continued to back off on rainfall amounts, which weren’t exactly high to begin with. The best chance for a quarter inch will be south of the Mass Pike, with amounts dropping off moving north. Amounts will vary, but a tenth to quarter of an inch across the entire region is continuing to look likely. This will provide some temporary relief to the fire situation, but will not make a dent in drought conditions.