Tracking chance of a nor’easter developing later this week

The week is off to a familiar start weather-wise — windy and cold. While we see wind chills in the teens Monday morning, the wind will back off during the afternoon while the airmass moderates a bit. Highs should reach into the upper 30s – a reasonable recovery after such a cold start.

Gradual warming is in order through midweek as we wait for Mother Nature to decide whether to develop a nor’easter or leave us with snow showers and flurries.

This is a tricky setup all around. The upper pattern would have you believe we are primed to get hit with major snow, BUT the ingredients have not come together in other parts of the atmosphere.

Light snow and cold are across New York and northern New England, and a deep plume of moisture is far offshore. A surface low would consolidate the two and create a mighty storm over us, but that consolidation may not come until all the parts are over the Maritime Provinces.

It’s a slow-motion drama too. It may take nearly TWO days for us to develop or not. We’ll go into the clouds (and a few showers with temps in the 40s) on Wednesday, then sit in limbo on Thursday, with a possibility of snow on Friday as the cold comes rushing in…

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