SARASOTA, Fla. (WWSB) – A surge of tropical moisture is headed toward the Suncoast, bringing a significant increase in rain chances and the potential for heavy rainfall and localized flooding over the coming days.
While coastal areas have remained relatively quiet, inland communities are already seeing the first signs of this shifting weather pattern. Here is what you need to know to stay ahead of the weather.
Heavy Rain and Localized Flooding Concerns
As tropical moisture returns to Southwest Florida, the primary concern will transition to heavy rainfall. Localized flooding cannot be ruled out, particularly in areas with poor drainage or pre-existing saturation.
Computer models indicate some areas could receive substantial rainfall totals:
- Eastern DeSoto & Highlands Counties: Projected rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible in pockets as storm cells converge.
- Sunday through Monday Morning: A widespread 1 to 3 inches of rain is expected across the region, with isolated areas potentially picking up up to 5 inches of total accumulation.
While coastal areas currently sit at a rainfall deficit and desperately need the moisture, the bulk of the initial activity will remain focused inland.
The Super 7-Day Forecast
- Thursday: 40% chance of rain. A few light morning showers are possible along the coast, with higher storm chances shifting inland during the afternoon.
- Friday: 50% chance of rain. The heat index will soar near 100 degrees due to climbing humidity and high dew points. Afternoon showers and storms will become more widely scattered.
- Saturday: 60% chance of rain. Storms will begin moving in pockets, particularly during the afternoon hours.
- Sunday: 70% chance of rain. Expect widespread, heavy tropical downpours with the potential for localized street flooding.
- Monday: Heavy storms and tropical moisture will continue to impact the area.
Marine and Boating Forecast
Boaters heading out on Thursday should prepare for a 30% chance of isolated showers and storms over the coastal waters. Safe boating precautions are always recommended when storm cells are in the area.
Tracking the Tropics
Meteorologists are continuing to monitor a tropical disturbance in the Atlantic. The system’s chance of development has recently decreased to 60%, indicating a slightly lower probability of organizing than previously anticipated…