A Small Craft Advisory remains the only active weather alert across New York state, affecting ocean waters off the metro area through 8 p.m. Tuesday, according to the National Weather Service. Across Western New York, forecasters in Buffalo warned of potentially gusty winds of 45-50 mph Tuesday, particularly across higher terrain south of Rochester and Buffalo and along the Chautauqua ridge.
According to the National Weather Service in Buffalo, a deepening low pressure system tracking northeast from the Midwest will drive a vigorous low-level jet of more than 50 mph into the Western New York region late Monday night into early Tuesday morning. The strongest wind gusts — potentially reaching 45-50 mph — are expected across higher terrain south of Rochester and Buffalo and off the Chautauqua ridge, where downslope winds could develop. Showers and a few rumbles of thunder are possible Tuesday as the front moves through, though limited atmospheric instability will keep shower coverage in check…