30-Year Tornado Data Shows 70–80% Annual Probability Across Ohio’s Miami Valley, With Even Higher Odds in Central Indiana

OHIO — As the region approaches its traditional spring severe weather uptick, newly highlighted 30-year data is putting tornado risk across the Miami Valley and neighboring Indiana into clearer perspective. The latest probability map, based on Storm Prediction Center data from 1994–2024, shows that much of western Ohio faces a 70–80% annual chance of a tornado occurring within 25 miles of a given location.

This does not mean every town sees a tornado every year — but statistically, somewhere within a 25-mile radius, one is likely to occur during a calendar year.

Miami Valley Shows Elevated Annual Tornado Odds

The map highlights western and central Ohio as one of the more active tornado corridors in the state.

Cities including:

  • Dayton
  • Celina
  • Findlay
  • Columbus

fall within zones showing 60–80% annual probability, depending on location…

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