High-End Severe Weather Scenario Targets Dallas, Oklahoma City and Tulsa Under New SPC Hatching Intensity Outlook Concept

UNITED STATES — A newly illustrated severe weather outlook concept shows what a high-end event could look like under the Storm Prediction Center’s evolving hatching intensity forecast approach — and the map centers squarely on North Texas and eastern Oklahoma, including Dallas, McKinney, Plano, Oklahoma City and Tulsa.

The example graphic demonstrates how future high-risk days may visually emphasize both coverage and intensity, with layered color zones representing escalating threat levels.

Core High-End Zone: Tulsa to Dallas Corridor

At the center of the map is a bold magenta-shaded and crosshatched area stretching from:

  • Tulsa, Oklahoma
  • Through Muskogee and Ada
  • Down toward McKinney, Plano and Dallas, Texas

This zone represents the most intense potential threat area on a high-end severe day. The dense hatching suggests a combination of:

  • Significant tornado potential
  • Intense supercell structures
  • Elevated risk to life and property

The concentration over major population centers underscores the seriousness such a setup would imply.

Expanded Significant Risk: Oklahoma City to Texarkana

Surrounding the core is a red and orange zone extending across:

  • Oklahoma City and Norman
  • Southward toward Wichita Falls
  • East toward Texarkana
  • North toward Bartlesville

This region reflects a broader area of organized severe storms capable of producing damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes.

Cities such as Oklahoma City and Dallas-Fort Worth sit within this expanded risk area, suggesting widespread severe weather potential beyond isolated supercells.

Outer Risk Envelope: Kansas to East Texas and Western Arkansas

A larger yellow-shaded polygon encompasses an even broader area including:

  • Wichita, Kansas
  • Springfield, Missouri
  • Little Rock, Arkansas (western edge)
  • Much of north and east Texas

This outer region indicates where severe storms could develop or track, depending on storm mode and atmospheric evolution…

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