Brief Outlook:
Severe thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the Southeast, including North Florida, Georgia, and coastal South Carolina, with risks of damaging winds and hail. Check below for further details, timing and much more information.
States and Cities Impacted: Florida (Tallahassee), Georgia (Atlanta), South Carolina (Charleston).
Detailed Forecast:
An upper-level trough will continue to influence the weather in the Southeast. A surface front will push into the region, interacting with a very moisture-rich boundary layer with surface dewpoints commonly in the low/mid 70s F and precipitable water near 2 inches. This setup will provide modest mid/upper-level lapse rates and weak to moderate shear around 20-25 knots, conducive to multicellular thunderstorm development capable of producing damaging winds and hail.
At the surface, instability values are expected to reach around 2000-3000 J/kg by the afternoon. The strong surface heating will enhance thunderstorm development along the frontal boundary, sea breeze, and differential heating boundaries. These storms are likely to produce damaging winds and hail, particularly in areas north of the remaining morning cloud cover.