Dryline Driven Storms for Texas and Oklahoma

SW PLAINS – Portions of Texas and Oklahoma are at risk of severe thunderstorms for the next three days. Today and tomorrow, the dryline will be the primary forcing mechanism to trigger storms. A dryline is similar to a cold front except a dryline separates dry air masses from moist air masses and is often responsible for triggering severe thunderstorms.

Monday Outlook and Timing

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a SLIGHT risk for severe weather. This is a level 2 out of 5 risk for severe storms.This includes cities such as Oklahoma City and Wichita Falls. The risk appears to be much more isolated through tonight but where storms fire off of the dryline they could become severe.

As far as today’s timing for these storms, once the dry airmass hits the moist airmass this could possibly trigger some severe thunderstorms. That being said, our models only pick up ona few isolated storms into the late afternoon through tonight.

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