Dry and warm through late this week

Written By: First Warn Weather Intern Patrick Murray

May was a historically dry month. Rain received last night was just enough to push us out of the number one spot for the driest may on record.

High pressure will remain in place over the course of the next few days keeping us dry and warm. A pattern change, however, lurks just on the horizon. As the ridging across the Great Lakes breaks down and we enter more zonal flow (meaning the prevailing jet stream winds become more west to east oriented), our chances for rain look to increase.

Rain looks possible, and increasingly likely as the week begins to wrap up, with rain chances peaking Friday night into Saturday. While coverage is expected to remain scattered, many of us could see some much needed rain.

The Weather Prediction Center’s Quantitative Precipitation Forecast shows the area could receive upwards of a quarter of an inch of rainfall in some spots through this weekend, helping to offset the likely “Rapid Onset Drought” or “Flash Drought” that is expected to develop across the Stateline.

But, as with any type of rainfall, moisture returns to the area with these rain chances. Models indicating that dew points could reach the mid to upper 60s across the area at times, meaning it will feel pretty muggy as the week ends…

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