TAMPA BAY, Florida – The National Weather Service Tampa Bay forecasts scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across the Tampa Bay region and Southwest Florida today, Thursday, July 2, 2026.
A light easterly flow combined with daytime heating and the sea breeze will trigger scattered to numerous mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms, with the best chance of rain south of the I-4 corridor.
Storms are expected mainly this afternoon and evening. Stronger storms could produce gusty winds, small hail, and locally heavy rainfall that may cause flooding in urban, low-lying, and poor-drainage areas. Activity will diminish overnight, leaving partly to mostly cloudy skies.
High temperatures today will range from the low-to-mid 90s across the region (Tampa area around 93°F, up to 95°F near Chiefland). Heat index values are expected between 100° and 107°F…