Additional Coverage:
- 2026 BMW Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions by model that’s nailed 17 majors (cbssports.com)
The 2026 FedEx Cup Playoffs continue this Thursday at 10:03 a.m. ET with the BMW Championship held at Bellerive Country Club in St.
Louis, Missouri. While Scottie Scheffler did not secure a major title this year, he demonstrated formidable form by winning the FedEx St.
Jude Championship by an impressive eight strokes. Currently leading the FedEx Cup points standings by a comfortable margin, Scheffler is among the 50 golfers advancing to the BMW Championship.
Scheffler enters the BMW Championship as the betting favorite at +310 odds, according to FanDuel Sportsbook. Other notable contenders include Ludvig Åberg and Rory McIlroy, both listed at +1500, and Xander Schauffele at +1600. Golf enthusiasts and bettors are encouraged to review expert predictions and projected leaderboards based on advanced computer models before finalizing their picks.
A proprietary model developed by DFS professional Mike McClure has simulated each PGA Tour event 10,000 times, consistently delivering highly profitable golf betting insights. This model has accurately predicted outcomes for 17 major championships to date, including the last five Masters tournaments, the recent PGA Championship, and the Open Championship.
The latest simulations for the BMW Championship have yielded some unexpected results. Despite Åberg’s strong start to the playoffs and previous success at Bellerive, the model suggests he may just barely secure a top-10 finish.
Notably, Åberg is winless this season and has yet to finish higher than a tie for third. Conversely, Tommy Fleetwood, with +2200 odds, emerges as a strong contender for victory and a solid pick for a top-5 finish.
Fleetwood’s consistent performance this season, including eight top-10s and four top-5s, combined with his accuracy off the tee, positions him well for the challenging conditions at Bellerive.
The model also highlights a longshot with odds near +3000 as a potential dark horse to make a significant impact on the leaderboard. Golf fans looking to capitalize on these insights are advised to consult the full model predictions.
Below are some of the top odds for the 2026 BMW Championship (odds subject to change):
- Scottie Scheffler: +310
- Rory McIlroy: +1500
- Ludvig Åberg: +1500
- Xander Schauffele: +1600
- Sam Burns: +2000
- Cameron Young: +2000
- Tommy Fleetwood: +2200
- Matt Fitzpatrick: +2200
- Si Woo Kim: +2500
- Hideki Matsuyama: +2700
- Chris Gotterup: +2700
- Viktor Hovland: +3000
- Patrick Cantlay: +3000
- Wyndham Clark: +3000
- Collin Morikawa: +3500
- Justin Thomas: +3500
For a comprehensive look at the field, full betting odds, expert picks, and projected leaderboards, interested parties should refer to the latest detailed analysis.
As the FedEx Cup Playoffs progress, the BMW Championship promises exciting competition with ample opportunities for both favorites and underdogs to shine.