Seattle Rewrites Climate Plan After 13 Years as Emissions Barely Budge

Seattle is rewriting its Climate Action Plan for the first time in more than a decade, and the numbers explain the urgency: the city’s carbon emissions have dropped just 12% below 2008 levels, leaving a steep climb toward the goal of a 58% cut by 2030. The rewrite, now underway, is folding in something the city’s 2013 plan barely touched — how Seattle will cope with the flooding, heat waves and wildfire smoke that climate change is already delivering.

More than 100 local academics, philanthropists, climate professionals, environmental leaders and government staff gathered on July 15 at the University of Washington’s wǝɫǝbʔaltxʷ Intellectual House for the Seattle Regional Partners Forum, convened by the Office of Sustainability and Environment, according to The Urbanist. Susan Dickerson-Lange told the outlet that continued action is needed to reduce harm to people, ecosystems and infrastructure, adding that climate impacts are occurring now rather than existing only as projections. Breakout groups at the forum tackled two of ten broad families of possible climate actions that Shemona Moreno said the approach is meant to cover, spanning health, buildings, transportation, waste, water, food, energy and community preparedness.

Emissions Still Stuck, Transportation the Biggest Culprit

The city’s 2013 Climate Action Plan set a target of slashing emissions 58% by 2030, but the most recent inventory shows Seattle has managed only a 12% reduction from its 2008 baseline. Transportation remains the single largest source of the city’s climate pollution, making up nearly 60% of total core emissions, according to the Seattle Office of Sustainability and Environment, with building energy consumption a distant second at roughly 37%. That imbalance helps explain why the city’s building sector already has binding regulation while transportation decarbonization remains a work in progress.

Mayor Bruce Harrell signed the Building Emissions Performance Standards into law in December 2023, requiring commercial and residential buildings over 20,000 square feet to progressively cut emissions starting in 2031, reaching net-zero by 2045 for some structures and 2050 for others, per Real Change. The city’s Office of Sustainability and Environment estimates full implementation will cut building-sector emissions by 27% and total core city emissions by 10.2% by 2050, the outlet reports. Seattle joined New York and San Francisco in enacting mandatory building emission caps, according to the same report.

Adaptation Gets a Seat at the Table

The updated plan adds a focus on resilience and cross-governmental collaboration that the 2013 version largely lacked — only 12 of its 90 pages addressed adaptation and hazard preparation at all, a gap The Urbanist has noted reflects how early-2010s climate plans focused almost exclusively on mitigation rather than resilience. Stefan Wheat told the outlet that adaptation investments recognize a responsibility to protect people from current and locked-in harms, and separately said wildfire smoke is already a present-day health problem, not a future one. Wildfire smoke causes an estimated 154,000 deaths worldwide every year, per the same reporting, and climate risk is compounded by age, chronic illness, outdoor work, housing insecurity and race…

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