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Scattered thunderstorms, some possibly severe, are likely in and near the South Plains tonight. Heavy rain is then likely for some areas Wednesday into Thursday. The rain chance will be followed by a rather dramatic cooldown heading into the weekend.
We’re dealing with something unusual for mid-October, atmospheric moisture levels that are more common in summer (typical when they are highest) than autumn. The moisture, combined with instability, is why scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this evening and tonight. The area most likely to experience severe storms is generally east of the Interstate 27 – Highway 87 corridor.
With so much moisture available, storms will be efficient rain producers. If more than one storm moves over an area flooding becomes more likely. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH, issued by the National Weather Service, is in effect through Wednesday for the northeastern KCBD/FOX34 viewing area and through Thursday night for the southern KCBD/FOX34 viewing area. These areas may receive two or more inches of rain.
The main severe threat across most of the area is strong wind gusts. For eastern areas, especially off the Caprock, large hail is also a concern. And while the risk is low, an isolated brief tornado cannot be ruled out, mainly over the northern Rolling Plains and the southeastern Texas Panhandle…