Talking the Tropics With Mike: Atlantic waves remain disorganized & weak with “sinking” air

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Tropics threats for Jacksonville/NE Florida/SE Georgia: Increasing onshore flow during the upcoming week will result in an increasing rip current risk at area beaches.

The Atlantic Basin Overview:

(1) Multiple tropical waves are moving rather sluggishly to the west between the Caribbean & coast of Africa with the most active waves over the E. Atlantic. One of the lead waves is moving into the Caribbean & still has at least some long term potential but inconsistency amongst the forecast models remains large… huge actually. After a seemingly more consistent signal of at least a developing tropical cyclone emerged Thursday for a time, then again late Friday… just about each & every long range global model is seriously bouncing around on whether a tropical cyclone even develops … to how strong … to, of course, track. So there is not much to be definitive about at this point.

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