Additional Coverage:
Ukraine Weakens Russian Artillery Firepower
Ukrainian forces have significantly reduced Russia’s artillery advantage on the battlefield. This is partly attributed to Ukraine’s long-range strikes on Russian ammunition depots in Russia.
Strikes on Ammo Depots
Ukraine carried out a series of strikes on rear Russian ammo depots last month, damaging a facility in Toropets, another in Oktyabrsky, and a major depot in Tikhoretsk. The attacks likely destroyed a substantial amount of ammunition and disrupted logistics systems.
Impact of Strikes
The attacks have diminished Russia’s near-term capacity to strike high-value targets with Iskander ballistic missiles. The impact on the Tikhoretsk depot depends on the amount of ammunition stored there, but it likely temporarily reduced Russia’s capabilities.
Ukraine’s Long-Range Strikes
Ukraine relies on limited supplies of long-range drones and missiles for these strikes. Lifting restrictions on the use of Western-provided long-range missiles could significantly boost Ukraine’s offensive potential.
Russia’s Response
Russia is likely to adapt to Ukraine’s strikes by dispersing depots and staging points. However, it will depend on Ukraine’s ability to produce long-range drones and missiles efficiently.
Long-Term Outlook
While Ukraine’s strikes have weakened Russia’s artillery advantage, experts believe Russia will eventually adapt and bolster its air defenses. Ukraine will need to produce long-range weapons consistently to maintain pressure on Russian ammo depots.