Brief Outlook:
The Southern and Central Plains once again, particularly parts of southeastern Kansas, central, east-northeast, and southeast Oklahoma, as well as northwest Missouri, are poised for significant severe weather events today. These events include large hail, damaging wind gusts, and tornadoes—possibly a few strong ones, especially into the evening hours in southeastern Oklahoma. Read on for more detailed information below.
Upper Levels:
The atmospheric setup features a pronounced mid-level trough moving northeastward across the central and southern Rockies, aligned with a powerful upper-level jet streak reaching wind speeds of 90-100 knots. This jet streak will enhance upper-level dynamics, significantly contributing to vertical shear and lifting necessary for severe thunderstorm development. The speed maxima associated with this jet streak will play a crucial role in storm initiation and intensity, creating a conducive environment for strong to potentially violent tornadoes.
Surface Forecast: