How long-range snowstorm forecasting is like a Plinko board

How long-range snow forecasting is like Plinko 01:31

MINNEAPOLIS — A system headed for the Twin Cities next week could bring snow, but it’s a tricky forecast this far out.

To give you an idea of what long-range forecasting is like, think of it like a Plinko board from the long-running CBS game show “The Price is Right.”

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Greg Gayne/CBS via Getty Images

The top of the board, where you drop the puck from, represents right now. The bottom of the board marks the arrival of the storm system.

As the puck drops, pegs direct it randomly around the board, until it eventually drops into one of several slots at the bottom, each of which represents a different outcome for the storm.

As we get closer to the storm, meteorologists are dropping the puck closer and closer to the bottom of the board, limiting the number of paths the puck can take and the potential slots into which it can fall.

Computer models show just one possible path on the Plinko machine — WCCO’s NEXT Weather team looks at all of the possible solutions to keep you aware of what’s coming.

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