The cloudy conditions and showers through midday have caused a large shift southward in the significant severe weather area. We still have the worry of major severe storms in the southeast and far southern part of Lower Michigan. Central and southwest Lower now has a much lower chance of severe storms.
Remember early this morning I pointed out this was a “conditional” severe weather situation. If it stayed cloudy and showery during the heat building time of day we would have a lesser chance of widespread significant severe weather.
It has stayed very cloudy and quite showery, as I expected. As a result the Storm Prediction Center has now trimmed the northern edge of the significant severe weather forecasts. They usually wait to see what happens to the erosion of clouds by noon…