Upstate New York’s Fall Forecast Is In, Snow Could Arrive Early This Year

Fall kicks off on Monday, September 22 at exactly 2:19 p.m. And if you’ve been craving cooler weather after the hot and humid summer we’ve had across the Northeast, you’re not alone. So the big questions are: when do we finally cool off and when will that first snowflake fall?

Let’s take a closer look at what the Farmers’ Almanac says Fall 2025 might have in store for New York and our neighbors across the Northeast.

A Mix of Warm and Wet to Start

September isn’t diving straight into flannel and firepit weather just yet. Expect a tug of war between lingering summer warmth and approaching fall systems. Early in the month, there’s a chance we’ll see some strong thunderstorms, especially around Labor Day weekend. And yes, there’s even a notable hurricane threat possible along the Atlantic coast during the first half of September.

By mid to late September, we’ll start feeling that classic crisp fall air, but don’t pack away your fans just yet. Warm, humid days will still sneak in here and there, especially downstate and along the Hudson Valley.

October Could Bring Our First Flakes

If you’re in upstate New York, especially around the Adirondacks or Catskills, you might want to keep an eye out for early snow by mid-October. The rest of the state will feel a noticeable dip in temps too, especially by Halloween, when kids might need more than just a light jacket over their costumes.

The middle of October could get stormy, with gusty winds and steady rain sweeping across much of the Northeast. It’s a good time to check your gutters and grab your umbrella. But mixed in will be those sunny, sweater-perfect days we all live for in fall.

November Feels More Like Winter

By the time November rolls in, the Farmers’ Almanac says it’ll feel like Fall has clocked out and winter has clocked in. Expect more consistent cold spells, especially across central and upstate New York. Snowfall will become more common, particularly around the Finger Lakes, Western New York, and even into parts of the Capital Region…

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