Maryland could see multiple chances for wintry weather over the coming days, with several light systems on track to move through the region. While no major storm is guaranteed at this point, the probability of seeing at least an inch of snow is climbing for much of the state.
According to the latest data from the European model, much of Maryland sits at around a 50% chance of receiving one inch or more of snow between now and Sunday. Western Maryland’s probabilities are noticeably higher thanks to colder air and more favorable terrain, while southern Maryland is closer to 30%.
The midweek system arriving tomorrow (Wednesday) is expected to fall as all rain across central Maryland, with temperatures too warm to support snow outside the mountains. A weak disturbance arriving Friday could deliver a light, powdery snowfall, especially during the afternoon and evening.
- National Weather Service (NWS) currently places the chance of at least one inch at about 25%.
- Most model solutions point to anywhere from a coating to an inch, though some areas may see nothing if the track shifts.
The NWS notes that cold air will be firmly in place, and any precipitation should fall as snow. Because the strongest lift intersects the dendritic growth zone (prime snow-flake-making territory), the system is expected to produce dry, fluffy snow with high snow ratios. Snow could begin west of the Blue Ridge during the morning and spread east through the afternoon…