TEXAS — Long-range weather forecast models are signaling a potential increase in severe weather risk across parts of Texas and neighboring states as December approaches its final stretch, raising early concerns about an unusually timed storm threat.
Forecast guidance suggests the most favorable window for organized storms could develop between December 20 and December 23, with some signals appearing as early as December 18, according to extended-range model data.
Why Forecasters Are Paying Close Attention
Multiple long-range ensemble models are beginning to highlight a developing corridor of severe weather potential stretching from the southeastern Great Plains into the Lower Mississippi River Valley.
“Long-range forecast models are hinting at an uptick in severe weather potential,” meteorologist Paul Dorian noted while reviewing the pattern…