Severe Thunderstorm, Tornado Risk For North Florida

JACKSONVILLE, Florida – The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has issued a weather alert for North Florida and southeast Georgia on Saturday, January 3, 2026, due to a Level 1/5 (Marginal) risk of isolated strong-to-severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, as outlined in the SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook updated at 0600 UTC on January 2, 2026.

Thunderstorm activity is expected to develop along and north of the I-10 corridor, with potential eastward progression toward coastal southeast Georgia by Saturday afternoon and evening, driven by a weak surface cyclone and sufficient instability as noted in the NWS Jacksonville forecast discussion.

According to NWS Jacksonville, isolated thunderstorms may become strong-to-severe, particularly along the I-10 corridor and northward.

Stronger storms may produce:

  • Gusty winds (up to 60 mph, as per the NWS Jacksonville hazardous weather outlook).
  • Small to marginally severe hail (up to 1 inch in diameter, per SPC outlook).
  • A brief isolated tornado (low probability, with a 2% tornado risk over inland southeast Georgia, per SPC).

North Florida and southeast Georgia areas at risk for thunderstorms include:

  • Jacksonville
  • Live Oak
  • Lake City

Jacksonville Weather Forecast

Saturday

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