Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Duke

LOUISVILLE, Ky. – Louisville (11-3, 1-1 ACC) is set to face Duke (13-1, 2-0 ACC) on Tuesday, Jan. 6 at 7:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here’s how the Cardinals stack up against the Blue Devils:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

Duke Louisville
AP/USAT 5th/6th 13th/16th
SOS 27th 38th
SOR 9th 28th
NET 7th 14th
RPI 10th 26th
BPI 2nd 8th
KenPom 9th 12th
Torvik 12th 11th
EvanMiya

Team Leaders

Duke Louisville
Points Cameron Boozer (23.0) Ryan Conwell (19.6)
Rebounds Cameron Boozer (9.8) Sananda Fru (6.9)
Assists Cameron Boozer (4.2) Mikel Brown Jr. (5.1)
Steals Cameron Boozer (1.9) Ryan Conwell (1.4)
Blocks Patrick Ngongba (1.6) Sananda Fru (1.4)

Scoring

Duke Louisville
Points Per Game 87.3 90.4
Field Goal % 49.8 47.1
FGM/FGA Per Game 29.6/59.4 29.9/63.4
Three Point % 35.4 35.3
3PTM/3PTA Per Game 9.9/28.1 12.2/34.6
Free Throw % 71.6 77.5
FTM/FTA Per Game 18.2/25.4 18.4/23.8

Rebounding

Duke Louisville
Rebounds Per Game 41.4 42.4
Off. Reb. Per Game 12.6 13.3
Def. Reb. Per Game 41.4 29.1
Rebound Margin 10.5 9.0

Defense

Duke Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game 65.5 69.1
Opp. FG% 38.5 38.8
Opp. 3PT% 30.3 31.5
Steals Per Game 8.1 7.6
Blocks Per Game 4.6 3.7
Turnovers Forced Per Game 13.5 13.3

Ball Handling

Duke Louisville
Assists Per Game 18.3 18.5
Turnovers Per Game 11.6 11.5
Turnover Margin 2.9 1.8
Assist/Turnover Ratio 1.58 1.61

Predictions

ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN’s Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have an 54.8 percent chance to win against the Blue Devils. Louisville has a BPI rating of 21.1 (8th overall), whereas Duke has a BPI rating of 23.1 (2nd overall).

– KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 55 percent chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 82-81 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +26.07 (12th overall), whereas Duke has an adjusted efficiency margin of +28.91 (9th overall)…

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