Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. SMU

LOUISVILLE, Ky. – Louisville (14-6, 4-4 ACC) is set to face SMU (15-5, 4-3 ACC) on Saturday, Jan. 31 at 2:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here’s how the Cardinals stack up against the Mustangs:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

SMU Louisville
AP/USAT RV/RV 20th/20th
SOS 42nd 39th
SOR 29th 35th
NET 31st 19th
RPI 19th 33rd
BPI 40th 10th
KenPom 37th 19th
Torvik 33rd 18th
EvanMiya 36th 22nd

Team Leaders

SMU Louisville
Points Boopie Miller (19.4) Ryan Conwell (19.4)
Rebounds Samet Yigitoglu (8.1) Sananda Fru (6.9)
Assists Boopie Miller (6.7) Mikel Brown Jr. (5.1)
Steals B.J. Edwards (2.6) Ryan Conwell (1.3)
Blocks Samet Yigitoglu (1.6) Sananda Fru (1.3)

Scoring

SMU Louisville
Points Per Game 87.3 86.0
Field Goal % 49.4 46.2
FGM/FGA Per Game 31.2/63.1 28.8/62.4
Three Point % 36.6 35.2
3PTM/3PTA Per Game 7.9/21.6 11.9/33.9
Free Throw % 76.9 76.9
FTM/FTA Per Game 17.0/22.1 16.5/21.5

Rebounding

SMU Louisville
Rebounds Per Game 38.4 40.7
Off. Reb. Per Game 12.4 12.5
Def. Reb. Per Game 26.0 28.2
Rebound Margin 3.8 6.5

Defense

SMU Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game 77.0 70.3
Opp. FG% 42.8 39.9
Opp. 3PT% 32.1 33.5
Steals Per Game 7.7 7.3
Blocks Per Game 4.0 3.3
Turnovers Forced Per Game 13.2 12.6

Ball Handling

SMU Louisville
Assists Per Game 17.8 17.5
Turnovers Per Game 11.6 11.6
Turnover Margin 1.6 1.0
Assist/Turnover Ratio 1.53 1.52

Predictions

ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN’s Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have an 83.7 percent chance to win against the Mustangs. Louisville has a BPI rating of 19.6 (10th overall), whereas SMU has a BPI rating of 13.1 (40th overall).

– KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 74 percent chance to take down the Mustangs, with a projected final score of 86-79 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +24.74 (19th overall), whereas SMU has an adjusted efficiency margin of +19.56 (37th overall)…

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