LOUISVILLE, KENTUCKY — With the weekend severe threat now behind us, attention is quickly turning to a potentially active stretch of weather across the Ohio Valley and Deep South. Forecast guidance indicates that Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday could each feature a risk of severe storms, with Friday appearing to carry the strongest signal at this stage.
Model-derived Supercell Composite Parameter (SCP) guidance shows multiple days with favorable environments developing from the Midwest into the Lower Mississippi Valley, suggesting that organized thunderstorms may become a repeated concern through the end of the workweek.
Wednesday: Initial Signal Over the Ohio Valley
The first area of concern centers on Wednesday, when elevated supercell parameters appear across portions of:
- Kentucky
- Indiana
- Southern Ohio
- Western West Virginia
While the overall signal is modest, guidance indicates sufficient wind shear and instability could overlap across the lower Ohio Valley. This setup may support isolated strong to severe storms if moisture return is adequate.
Cities such as Louisville, Lexington, Cincinnati, and Indianapolis sit within the highlighted zone where atmospheric conditions may briefly align…