Western New York Weather Alert: Snow Risk Rises in Buffalo for St. Patrick’s Day as Temps Drop March 11-17, 2026

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Buffalo, New York – Colder air settling across the Great Lakes ahead of St. Patrick’s Day could turn part of western New York’s active storm track into accumulating snow between March 11 and March 17.

According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, western New York falls within a 40-50% probability zone for above-normal precipitation during the 8-14 day period. At the same time, temperatures trend near to below normal across the region. That combination increases the likelihood that stronger systems tracking through the Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes bring wet snow, especially during overnight and early morning hours…

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