Severe storms are possible today, with the peak chance for stormy weather occurring after 7 p.m. through 11 p.m. Large hail and tornadoes will be possible along and ahead of a line of storms.
Everyone will see rain. Some will see severe storms rumble through. The good news is that before 7 p.m., most will be dry with just an isolated rain and storm chance. Temperatures will be in the pleasant range, so hopefully many can get outside and enjoy.
Today’s storm chance is due to a short-wave trough that is moving on the northern edge of a surface trough anchored over Oklahoma. The shortwave will dig down to the southeast through the day today, arriving here in Western Pennsylvania this evening and bringing the chance for storms.
New, updated sounding data won’t be out until later this morning, but data based off of the last sounding are showing an environment only marginally conducive for severe storms, including SARS sounding analogs (basically something that looks at the current expected conditions and looks for past severe weather soundings for matches) that aren’t showing too many historical matches to severe weather events…