Written by :
B.E.Delmer
On May 2, 2026, the Kentucky Derby returns to Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. The race continues its long-standing tradition of being held on the first Saturday in May. It will mark the 152nd time the Derby has been run.
In almost every Kentucky Derby, favorites tend to dominate the conversation and attract the most. But, in many situations, history tells a more complicated story. This gap between perception and reality raises the question of whether following the crowd is truly the best approach.
Follow the Herd… or Fade It?
In races like the Kentucky Derby, “the crowd” simply refers to the collective betting public. Since odds are determined by how money is distributed, popular picks naturally get shorter prices. Big-name trainers, flashy performances, and media buzz often pull in heavy support…