A broad area of low pressure will move across the middle of the country on Sunday, sending a weak cold front through much of North and East Texas by late Sunday afternoon and evening.
As the front interacts with a very humid and unstable environment, scattered thunderstorms will form, some of which could become severe . Storm chances will be very low in and around San Antonio, at around 10% or less, but chances will rise as you move north and east across the state. Here’s what we can expect.
Texas severe storm chances
Far Northeast Texas will be under the greatest risk of severe thunderstorms on Sunday. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Level 3 of 5 risk of severe storms in Texarkana, and that risk extends southeast toward Shreveport, Louisiana.
This region will likely see widely scattered thunderstorms between 4 and 10 p.m. Sunday. Storms are expected to intensify rapidly, with many capable of very large hail, damaging winds, and even an isolated tornado or two.
Farther south and west, severe storms will become a bit less widespread. A Level 2 of 5 risk of severe storms has been issued for several Texas cities, such as Dallas, Tyler, Lufkin, and Nacogdoches. Here, storm coverage will not be quite as widespread, so many areas will stay dry. But any storms that do form would intensify quickly and produce large hail…