A.J. Dillon’s 2024 free agency contract projection

The NFL’s regular season is over, which for most teams, means it’s time to start figuring out plans for the offseason.

NFL free agency is a huge part of the process, and along with the NFL Draft, it has everyone preparing for what should be a very active couple of months.

We’ve officially come up with our own contract projections for the NFL’s top free agents that include context behind each player’s 2023 season, the likelihood of a franchise tag, the projection itself, and the first-year cap hit for a team that’s “all-in” and is needing to reduce that first-year hit in order to maximize their cap dollars.

So, without further ado, let’s check out the projection for Green Bay Packers running back, A.J. Dillon.


A.J. Dillon 2024 Contract Projection

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When AJ Dillon broke out in 2021, Green Bay appeared to have as menacing of a two-headed rushing attack as the Browns’ duo of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Dillon and Aaron Jones had excellent years in 2021 and 2022, but the wheels came off the bus for the big bruiser Dillon last season. In limited usage in his rookie year, AJ averaged 5.3 yards per carry, and leveled out his average to 4.3 and 4.2 yards per carry in 2021 and 2022 when he received over 175 carries each season. That average dropped to 3.4 in 2023, and his yards after first contact average dropped from 3.18 in 2021 to 2.69 in 2023.

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