- Russia can replace lost tanks almost as quickly as it is losing them, maintaining offensive capabilities.
- Ukraine relies on Western support for tank models and repairs, but support is uncertain and Republicans in the US have blocked new funding.
- Russia has material, industrial, and manpower advantages over Ukraine, allowing it to replenish its missile stockpiles and sustain its offensive actions.
Additional Coverage:
- Russia is replacing its destroyed tanks at a rate of 100 a month, UK intel says (businessinsider.com)
According to the UK Defense Ministry, Russia has the ability to replace its lost tanks nearly as quickly as it is losing them. Since early October, Russia has lost up to 365 main battle tanks, averaging a loss of a little over 100 tanks per month. However, it can manufacture around 100 tanks a month, allowing it to maintain its offensive capabilities at the same level. The ministry also noted that Russia has lost approximately 700 armored vehicles since October but has only achieved minor territorial gains.
In total, since its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Russia has lost about 2,600 main battle tanks and 4,900 other armored vehicles. Despite these losses, Russia can continue its aggressive actions because it has the capacity to replace battlefield losses and sustain its offensive efforts. This comes at a time when Ukraine’s support from the West is uncertain, as it relies on Western countries for modern tank models and weaponry.
While Ukraine has suffered fewer losses compared to Russia, the faltering support from the West creates an advantage for Russia. Ukraine requires assistance to maintain and repair its weaponry and tank fleet, but Republicans in the US have blocked new support, including funding for repairs. Furthermore, a lack of spare parts and slow repairs have hindered Ukraine’s use of advanced Leopard tanks provided by Germany. While many European countries continue to provide support, Hungary has blocked a significant support package.
Experts acknowledge that Russia has material, industrial, and manpower advantages over Ukraine. Russia has shown the ability to replenish its missile stockpiles by ramping up production. Videos have emerged during the war, depicting the destruction of Russian armored vehicles, particularly in the town of Avdiivka. Ukraine initially suffered major tank losses but adjusted its tactics, while Russia continued to make the same mistakes, leading to repeated tank losses.
Overall, Russia’s capacity to replace its lost tanks allows it to sustain its offensive actions, while Ukraine’s Western support remains uncertain.
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- Russia is replacing its destroyed tanks at a rate of 100 a month, UK intel says (businessinsider.com)