Additional Coverage:
- ‘Vulnerable’ Russia has Soviet ‘worries’ and believe West are plotting to undermine nation (irishstar.com)
Leaked documents reveal Russia’s belief that the West is actively working to isolate it from its former Soviet neighbors. These documents allege Western powers are discouraging closer ties and hindering economic cooperation between Russia and these republics, some of which have voiced concerns about potential Russian invasion.
Last April, Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin reportedly presented a stark assessment of the damage caused by the invasion of Ukraine. The presentation, attended by top officials and executives, reportedly acknowledged the effectiveness of Western sanctions in driving a wedge between Russia and key trade partners. Hardliners, including Sergei Karaganov, were also present.
The leaked report outlines Russia’s ambition to establish a powerful Eurasian trade bloc to rival the US, EU, and China. Moscow believes this bloc would bolster its global influence despite the significant reputational damage from the Ukraine war.
This proposed “macroregion” would facilitate access to raw materials and strengthen financial ties. Russia also aims to forge stronger connections with developing nations, sharing a common vision for a new world order with its own set of rules and sanctions.
However, the report acknowledges serious obstacles to Russia’s economic recovery. It claims Western nations are using incentives and penalties to pressure Central Asian countries into complying with sanctions. These tactics include offering access to global markets and supply chains, effectively bypassing Russia.
The report also contends that even Russia’s allies have benefited from the sanctions. Russian businesses have been displaced, and allies have gained control over trade routes while demanding higher commissions for the risks associated with violating sanctions.
The document advises a long-term strategy for dealing with Central Asian allies, emphasizing shared history while acknowledging that a Russian victory in Ukraine won’t necessarily alleviate Western pressure. It cautions that close ties with Russia could become a liability for these nations.
Finally, the report warns of Russia’s current vulnerability, noting that Central Asian countries are seeking integration without Russia. It suggests these nations are shifting their perspectives, even re-evaluating their shared history, with actions like promoting English language learning.