Additional Coverage:
Tropical Storm Jerry Expected to Strengthen, Could Become Hurricane by Weekend
Tropical Storm Jerry continues its journey across the Atlantic Ocean, with forecasters anticipating it will gain strength and potentially reach hurricane status within the next few days. Residents in the northern Leeward Islands and surrounding areas are advised to monitor the storm’s progress closely.
As of an October 9 advisory from the National Hurricane Center (NHC), Jerry was situated approximately 355 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands. The storm currently boasts maximum sustained winds near 65 mph, with higher gusts. Experts predict “gradual strengthening” over the coming days, with the possibility of Jerry intensifying into a hurricane by late Friday, October 10, or Saturday, October 11.
The storm’s current west-northwest movement is expected to shift to the northwest later today, Thursday, followed by a slight northward turn on Friday and Saturday. Jerry is forecast to pass near or northeast of the northern Leeward Islands later today and tonight.
Expected Impacts
The NHC warns of significant rainfall across the Leeward and Virgin Islands through Friday, October 10, with accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and isolated maximums of 6 inches. This level of precipitation poses a risk of flash flooding.
Additionally, swells generated by Jerry have already begun to impact the Leeward and Windward Islands. These dangerous swells are expected to spread westward to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Thursday night, and then across the rest of the Greater Antilles over the next couple of days, creating life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Understanding Hurricanes
Tropical storms like Jerry form in warm ocean waters, typically when temperatures exceed 80 degrees. Clusters of thunderstorms can organize into a tropical wave or depression, becoming a named tropical storm once sustained winds hit 39 mph. A storm officially becomes a hurricane when its winds reach 74 mph.
Crucial Preparation Steps
Authorities emphasize the importance of early preparation, urging residents not to delay potentially life-saving actions. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) advises securing disaster supplies while available and conducting an insurance checkup, noting that flood insurance often requires a 30-day waiting period.
Here are key steps to prepare:
- Develop an Evacuation Plan: If you live in an area prone to hurricanes, create a clear plan for where you would go and how you would get there.
- Assemble Disaster Supplies: Gather necessary supplies for both sheltering in place and potential evacuation, keeping in mind the aftermath of a storm can be lengthy.
- Review Insurance and Document Possessions: Contact your insurance provider to ensure adequate coverage for your home and belongings. Remember, standard home and renters insurance typically do not cover flood damage, necessitating a separate flood insurance policy.
- Create a Family Communication Plan: Establish meeting places, including an out-of-town option, and share the plan with all family members.
- Strengthen Your Home: Take proactive measures such as trimming trees, installing storm shutters or impact glass, and sealing exterior wall openings to enhance your home’s resilience.