LOUISIANA — Early spaghetti model plots for Invest 91L show growing agreement that the system could shift toward the western Gulf later this week, though a defined center of circulation has not yet formed. The tropical wave near Florida’s western coast could move west or northwest and continue organizing over the coming days.
The National Hurricane Center maintains an 80 percent chance of formation through both the next 48 hours and the full 7-day period, reflecting high confidence that some level of organization is likely despite the system remaining in an early stage.
Model Trends Point Toward Western Gulf Late This Week
Overall model and ensemble trends show 91L tracking into the western Gulf later this upcoming week, with spaghetti plots showing a cluster of potential paths converging toward the Louisiana and Texas coastlines, including areas near Houston, Galveston, and New Orleans.
Despite this general westward trend, forecasters emphasize there remains plenty of uncertainty and multiple possible outcomes at this early stage, with the system’s exact track still subject to change as data comes in.
Gulf Coast Residents Urged to Monitor Regardless of Track
Regardless of the system’s eventual movement, residents along the Gulf coast from Texas through Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama are encouraged to continue monitoring the system’s progress in the coming days as it develops…