Once a growing district, Cy-Fair ISD just lost 3,200 students. It could come at a price.

After decades of growth, Cypress-Fairbanks ISD is starting to lose students — and at a faster rate than expected for the state’s third-largest district.

Demographers predicted last spring that Cy-Fair would lose up to 4,000 students by 2034, but its enrollment has already declined by almost that much in just one year. The suburban district lost 3,230 students from last school year to this one, according to 2025-26 enrollment data obtained by the Houston Chronicle.

Cy-Fair ISD has been bracing for an enrollment decline because of increased competition from school choice, limited land for more development, and a decline in overall birthrates. But demographers projected it would lose a few hundred students per year and that by 2029, the district would still have around 116,000 students. That expectation was undercut by this year’s enrollment at 114,697 students…

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