INDIANA — A warmer and more active weather pattern is taking shape across the state, bringing increasing thunderstorm chances and a growing concern for both severe weather and heavy rain as the week unfolds.
Forecast outlook maps show a marginal risk (Level 1 of 5) for severe storms Wednesday, followed by a more substantial Level 2 of 5 risk positioned just west of Indiana on Friday — a setup that could shift east into parts of the state late Friday into early Saturday.
Wednesday: Marginal Risk Focused on Southern Indiana
The Wednesday, March 4 severe weather outlook highlights much of Indiana in a broad marginal risk area, with the greatest concern across southern Indiana, including areas near:
- Bloomington
- Vincennes
- Jasper
- South of Indianapolis
Cities such as Indianapolis, Lafayette, Terre Haute, Muncie, Fort Wayne, Gary and South Bend sit within the broader green-shaded zone, indicating isolated severe potential but not widespread high-end risk.
The primary concern Wednesday appears to be large hail, particularly in southern counties where instability may be slightly higher…