Talking the Tropics With Mike: Inconistent forecast models abound across the tropics

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Tropics threats for Jacksonville/NE Florida/SE Georgia: None through the holiday weekend.

The Atlantic Basin Overview:

(1) Multiple tropical waves are moving rather sluggishly to the west between the Caribbean & coast of Africa with an indication of an uptick in their associated convection. One of the waves a little more than halfway between the Caribbean & Africa still has long term potential but inconsistency amongst the forecast models remains large… huge actually. After a seemingly more consistent signal of at least a developing tropical cyclone emerged Thursday for a time, then again late Friday… just about each & every long range global model is seriously bouncing around on whether or not a tropical cyclone even develops … to intensity … to, of course, track. So there is not much to be definitive about at this point.

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