KANSAS — A developing round of elevated thunderstorms is expected to form tonight across southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma, with the potential to spread into central Missouri overnight and into early Wednesday morning.
Forecasters indicate that as warm air advection increases ahead of a broader severe weather stretch, storms will develop in a moistening airmass. While these storms are expected to remain elevated — meaning surface-based tornado risk is limited — they could still produce pockets of hail.
Timing: 7 PM Through 7 AM
The window for stronger storms appears to run from approximately 7 p.m. through 7 a.m., covering much of the overnight period into early morning hours.
The core risk zone includes:
- Wichita and Topeka, Kansas
- Tulsa, Oklahoma
- Kansas City, Missouri
- Extending east into parts of central Missouri
Storms forming this evening may gradually shift east-northeast overnight.
Hail Potential Up to 1.5 Inches
Given the elevated nature of the storms, hail is the primary concern. Forecast guidance suggests hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter could occur in isolated stronger cells…