Nashville, TN – Tennessee’s winter outlook for 2026-27 is taking shape, with federal forecasters favoring above-normal temperatures and increased precipitation chances across much of the state, raising questions about what the coming months could bring for Nashville, Memphis, Knoxville and Chattanooga.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, seasonal outlooks issued Thursday, October 15, favor above-normal temperatures across Tennessee from November 2026 through January 2027. Precipitation probabilities also lean above normal, particularly across southern and eastern portions of the state.
The temperature outlook places much of Tennessee within a region showing approximately a 33% to 40% probability of above-normal temperatures over the three-month period…