KNOXVILLE, Tenn. (WATE) — East Tennessee is unlikely to see a white Christmas in 2025, Storm Team 6 forecasted.
Historically, the chances of seeing a white Christmas in Knoxville stand at about 4%, and this year, it’s looking even less likely than normal. Our meteorologists predict that temperatures should moderate later in the month with a “zonal” upper-level pattern restricting frigid arctic air to the northern states. The chances for snow are higher in the mountains.
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Additionally, some indicators hint that there may be higher pressure during the week of Christmas, which would keep East Tennessee on the milder and drier side. While it’s too early for specifics, the most likely scenario is for temperatures to be average or slightly above, with a high in the 50s and a low in the 30s. The average high for Christmas is 49° and the average low is 32°.
Since the 1870s, Knoxville has seen six Christmases with at least one inch of snow in the morning — the official definition of a white Christmas. The most recent was 2020 with two inches, most left over from the day before. Knoxville also saw two inches of snow on Christmas Day during 2010, 1966, 1963, 1962 and 1915. 1963 had the most snow at five inches in the morning.
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There have also been 13 Christmases with snowfall of at least 1/10 of an inch, the most recent being 2020.
Stay up to date with Storm Team 6’s forecast here or download WATE’s weather app for up-to-the-second alerts, long-term forecasts, past and “future” radar and videos…