Tennessee Weather Update: 6 More Weeks of Winter? Feb–March–April 2026 Outlook for Nashville, Memphis

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Nashville, Tennessee – Winter may not be finished across Tennessee, even as signs of spring begin to appear on the calendar. Groundhog Day tradition delivered a familiar message Monday morning, with Punxsutawney Phil seeing his shadow and signaling six more weeks of winter, pushing expectations for a consistent warm-up closer to mid-March.

According to the National Weather Service, Tennessee falls into an “equal chances” category for temperatures from February through April. That keeps the potential for late-season cold snaps and fluctuating conditions in play, especially during overnight and early morning hours. Middle and East Tennessee, including Nashville, Knoxville, and the Cumberland Plateau, could still see brief winter-like intrusions, while Memphis and West Tennessee may experience sharp swings between chilly rain and milder afternoons…

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