ARKANSAS — Scattered storms are likely across Arkansas Sunday afternoon with activity expected on and off throughout the day, bringing heavy rain and a very low severe weather risk to a large portion of the state. The Arkansas Weather Network tornado risk map shows a green very low risk zone covering the western half of Arkansas from Fayetteville and Fort Smith southward through Mena, De Queen, and Texarkana, with the tornado chance remaining low but non-zero similar to Saturday’s setup.
Forecasters will be watching radar closely through the afternoon but stress this is not something that should cause significant concern for most residents.
Rain Chances of 80 to 90 Percent Across Much of the State Sunday
The rain probability map shows very high rain chances of 80 to 90 percent blanketing most of Arkansas Sunday, with the highest coverage across the northern and central portions of the state including Harrison, Mountain Home, Batesville, Clinton, Little Rock, and Hot Springs all at 80 to 90 percent. Southern communities including Texarkana and El Dorado sit at 60 to 70 percent, still carrying a solid chance for afternoon shower activity.
The futurecast valid Sunday at 4 PM shows widespread green returns across the state with pockets of yellow, orange, and red indicating locally heavier rainfall embedded within the broader coverage.
Very Low Tornado Risk Exists Across Western Arkansas Similar to Saturday
The tornado risk map designates the western half of Arkansas in the green very low category, with forecasters noting that just like Saturday there remains a chance for a tornado or two somewhere across the state during the afternoon storm activity. The risk is not elevated enough to cause alarm but is sufficient to warrant weather awareness and having alerts enabled…