DALLAS — Forecasters are warning that a multi-day heavy rain event could impact Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and parts of the Southeast beginning Monday, November 18, as a strong weather system sweeps across the Southern Plains and into the Gulf states.
According to the latest projections, areas across eastern Texas, southern Arkansas, northern Louisiana, and central Mississippi face a slight to moderate risk of receiving more than one inch of rain within a 24-hour period, raising concerns for localized flooding and travel disruptions.
Timing and Risk Areas
Meteorologists with national weather outlooks say the heaviest rainfall will likely occur between November 19–20, with precipitation lingering across parts of the region through Friday, November 22.
- Slight Risk (Nov 18–22): Covers most of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Louisiana.
- Moderate Risk (Nov 19–20): Focused over Louisiana, Mississippi, and parts of southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle.
Rainfall totals could exceed 2–3 inches in localized areas, especially near the Gulf Coast, where moisture from the Gulf of Mexico is expected to enhance storm intensity.
“We’re looking at a classic late-autumn setup,” one meteorologist said. “Moisture from the Gulf will meet colder air from the Plains, creating a zone of persistent, heavy rainfall. Flash flooding will be possible in low-lying and urban areas.”
Potential Flooding and Travel Impacts
Forecasters warn that rainfall rates could be heavy enough to cause minor flooding along creeks, rivers, and roadways. Urban centers such as Houston, Jackson, and Little Rock may experience ponding on roads and slower commutes during peak rain periods…