Rain and thunderstorms this morning south of I-44 will continue to washaway after sunrise. Today will be mostly dry following this morning, and mostly cloudy this afternoon. Temperatures today should climb into the mid to upper 60s.
There will be thunderstorms to our west tonight in Kansas and Oklahoma, but that activity should avoid Western Missouri tonight. Note that a few rumbles of thunder are possible tonight for areas near the I-49 corridor.
Friday begins quietly, but ends with thunderstorms. The highest risk for severe thunderstorms on Friday will come late Friday evening through Friday night.
A few marginally severe thunderstorms may fire in the mid to late afternoon on Friday, ahead of the main risk on Friday night. Any thunderstorms in the afternoon will be capable of some hail and wind, but coverage should be isolated if anything develops then.
A line of thunderstorms is expected to develop in East Kansas and East Oklahoma and enter the Ozarks Friday night. This is a classic squalline setup in Missouri and Arkansas. Damaging wind will be the favored risk with this thunderstorm line on Friday night. As we often see in the Ozarks, there is a risk for weak, brief, spin-up tornadoes within this line. That’s something we’ll be watching for.
The main line of thunderstorms is expected to move into areas west of Highway 65 between 10 PM Friday night and 1 AM Saturday morning. Storms can be expected near the Highway 65 corridor from midnight to 3 AM Saturday morning. Timing for storms for areas between Highway 65 and Highway 63 is between 2 AM and 5 AM Saturday morning, and after 5 AM for areas east of Highway 63.
Once the thunderstorms clear the area on Saturday morning, we’ll find a cloudy and cooler day on Saturday. A cold front will be the driving force behind the thunderstorms, and that will blow in right behind the rain. Overall, Saturday should be quiet with skies clearing in the evening.
Sunday and Monday will be springlike days in the 60s and 70s, with Monday feeling more like spring than Sunday. Another chance for thunderstorms arrives late Tuesday…